Cognitive errors from the perspective of the probability game – The Monty Hall problem

Cognitive errors from the perspective of the probability game – The Monty Hall problem

The essay addresses cognitive biases through the lens of the Monty Hall problem, a well-known probability game that challenges our intuition. Using this example, it explores how our tendency to divide and segment information can lead us away from simple and correct solutions. The optimal strategy of switching doors, supported by mathematical probabilities, is explained, along with how cognitive biases can create contradictory strategies depending on how the data is interpreted. Finally, the text reflects on the importance of observing simple facts and avoiding unnecessary complexities in reasoning. Continue reading Cognitive errors from the perspective of the probability game – The Monty Hall problem